Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.159998 0.180549 0.202178 0.226587 0.253311 0.281628 0.313844
2025-04-06 0.131367 0.158862 0.189371 0.225552 0.267094 0.313108 0.367728
2025-04-13 0.110718 0.142340 0.179085 0.224542 0.278850 0.341226 0.417829
2025-04-20 0.096571 0.131200 0.173125 0.226946 0.293472 0.372253 0.471777
2025-04-27 0.087025 0.124274 0.171057 0.233094 0.312064 0.408047 0.532215
2025-05-04 0.077233 0.115743 0.165843 0.234343 0.323957 0.435507 0.582954
2025-05-11 0.070380 0.110248 0.163797 0.239048 0.339897 0.468077 0.640687
2025-05-18 0.065212 0.106437 0.163461 0.245611 0.358116 0.503779 0.703171
2025-05-25 0.058169 0.099148 0.157603 0.244003 0.364969 0.524545 0.746593
2025-06-01 0.052411 0.093134 0.152950 0.243522 0.372960 0.546676 0.792049
2025-06-08 0.047277 0.087528 0.148364 0.242645 0.380048 0.567476 0.835966
2025-06-15 0.044231 0.084911 0.147954 0.247645 0.395393 0.599744 0.895976
2025-06-22 0.040045 0.080135 0.144052 0.247438 0.403551 0.622797 0.944791
2025-06-29 0.036254 0.075624 0.140189 0.246964 0.411146 0.645139 0.993102
2025-07-06 0.032820 0.071366 0.136370 0.246232 0.418158 0.666685 1.040694
2025-07-13 0.030400 0.068678 0.134895 0.249019 0.430445 0.696018 1.099908
2025-07-20 0.028893 0.067532 0.135895 0.255754 0.448916 0.734750 1.173394
2025-07-27 0.026639 0.064702 0.133762 0.257164 0.459041 0.761332 1.229807
2025-08-03 0.025156 0.063236 0.133890 0.262268 0.475056 0.796976 1.300121
2025-08-10 0.024073 0.062471 0.135194 0.269358 0.494388 0.837991 1.379125
2025-08-17 0.021877 0.059120 0.131514 0.267637 0.499341 0.857205 1.426093
2025-08-24 0.020040 0.056328 0.128649 0.267125 0.506139 0.879277 1.477652
2025-08-31 0.018318 0.053586 0.125661 0.266184 0.512090 0.900058 1.527558